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Investors Eye Earnings As Stocks Stabilize
More market history, Super Micro's slump, and other noteworthy pops and drops.
NEWS
Investors Eye Earnings As Stocks Stabilize
Global markets stabilized overnight and closed in the green despite some late-day selling. Economic data is light this week, so although macro worries remain, investors are paying close attention to company earnings. Let’s see what you missed. 👀
Today's issue covers additional context on yesterday’s volatility, Super Micro’s earnings slump, and other noteworthy pops and drops. 📰
Here’s the S&P 500 heatmap. 11 of 11 sectors closed green, with real estate (+2.21%) leading and healthcare (+0.46%) lagging.
And here are the closing prices:
S&P 500 | 5,240 | +1.04% |
Nasdaq | 16,367 | +1.03% |
Russell 2000 | 2,064 | +1.23% |
Dow Jones | 38,998 | +0.76% |
P.S. We’re experimenting with different formats to streamline your experience. Like something, don’t like something, hit me up. I want to hear from you. 👍
EARNINGS
Market Catches Its Breath After Historic Slump
Monday’s historic move in volatility was followed by another historic move, this time in the opposite direction. The Volatility Index ($VIX) went from a high of 68 yesterday to an intraday low of 24 today, closing at 27.70.
However, some market analysts suggest we are unlikely to see a V-shaped recovery in the market after such a large spike in volatility. 😫
Andrew Thrasher, CMT, shared a great chart today showing previous instances that saw further downside before an ultimate recovery. It also reinforced the perspective of several charts we shared yesterday, which suggested that forward returns are strong after volatility spikes but that the path to getting there would be bumpy. 🫨
Looking at what the market does after such a large spike in the $VIX...
2010, 2011, 2015, 2016, 2018 (Feb. & Oct.), 2019 and 2020 saw further downside or double bottoms. Few instances saw an immediate bottom in equities, often experiencing at least a little more downside.
$SPX… x.com/i/web/status/1…— Andrew Thrasher, CMT (@AndrewThrasher)
3:38 PM • Aug 6, 2024
Some traders on Stocktwits are taking shots on the long side at current levels. For example, @Honeystocks shared his view of the Russell 3000 index (representing 98% of investible U.S. equities), which suggests that if prices are above their 2021 highs, then the bull case remains intact. 🐂
Still, other Stocktwits users are not so sure. Sentiment on the platform remains mixed, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average sitting in ‘bearish’ territory, while the Nasdaq 100 is ‘bullish.’ The Russell 2000 remains the odd man out, with sentiment stuck in neutral for now.
Let us know what you’re doing, and we’ll share the data tomorrow. 👇
What moves are you making? |
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