Happy Monday, and for once that sentence doesn't come with a catch. Oil dropped -5.4% to $93.35 a barrel after the Wall Street Journal reported the Trump administration is assembling a multi-country coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz. The market treated it like someone finally cracked a window in a smoke-filled room.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher, the Dow added +388 points as every major sector finished green.

Jensen Huang spoke on the keynote stage at GTC. He now sees at least $1 trillion by 2027 in Blackwell and chip demand. He also dropped that OpenAI is coming to AWS and gave CoreWeave an endorsement and said he wanted to help Uber self drive,stocks higher on the spot. Nvidia closed higher and remains the conference's gravitational center for the rest of the week.

Gold slid -1.2% to $5,002.20/oz as the dollar softened and Treasury yields dipped, a slightly unusual combination that mostly reflects the oil-driven inflation trade unwinding at the margins. The FOMC meets this week and is widely expected to hold, but after last week's GDP and PCE prints, any hint of a hawkish lean in the statement will get attention fast. 👀

The Dutch AI cloud company woke up Wall Street on Monday with a blockbuster infrastructure agreement, sending $NBIS ( ▲ 14.96% ) surging as Meta committed up to $27B over five years for dedicated compute capacity.

The structure breaks into two tranches: $12B in dedicated capacity across Nebius clusters, plus up to $15B in additional available compute Meta has right of first refusal on. The deal includes one of the first large-scale deployments of Nvidia's new Vera Rubin platform, coming early 2027. Nebius kept its 2026 revenue guidance unchanged at $3B to $4B, meaning this contract is almost entirely additive.

This is not a one-off. Nebius signed a $17.4B agreement with Microsoft in September 2025, and Meta previously committed $3B in November. Nvidia also invested $2B directly into Nebius last week. The company has quietly become the go-to infrastructure layer for hyperscalers that want Vera Rubin capacity without building it themselves, and Citi initiated coverage Monday with a buy rating.. 🏗️

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Nvidia's CEO took the stage at GTC in San Jose on Monday and raised the bar. He said he saw one TRILLION ($1T) in cumulative purchase orders for the super new and expensive Blackwell and Rubin chips through 2027, doubling a prior $500B forecast. That earlier forecast ran just one year, to 2026, so the two years at two trillion looks like basic math on second glance. $NVDA ( ▲ 1.65% ) jumped on the news, but fell back some, closing +1.5% after initially popping nearly +5%.

"Computing demand has increased by 1 million times in the last two years," Jensen Huang, CEO, said on the keynote stage. “From where I stand, I see, through 2027, at least $1 trillion.”

Huang framed the demand surge around a fundamental shift in how AI is consumed. Dramatic increases in thinking and inferencing are called the "inference inflection" point of AI models that will act as agents and do “actual work.’ The shift in what we call the next big thing in AI has caused a global bottleneck in computing power. Nvidia intends to own that bottleneck.

Huang also unveiled the Groq 3 LPU, Nvidia's first chip from the startup it acquired for $20B in December, with a full rack of 256 LPUs designed to sit alongside Vera Rubin systems and boost tokens-per-watt performance by 35 times.

$ARM ( ▲ 5.14% ) Arm Holdings: jumped after GTC spotlight on CPU demand lifted the sector. $SNDK ( ▲ 6.35% ) Sandisk: ripped after memory sector momentum, $MU ( ▲ 3.68% ) climbed alongside it.

Nvidia is still down -3.4% year-to-date with its $4.4T market cap intact, and Vera Rubin systems shipping in the second half of 2026 are the real test of whether the next upgrade cycle can reignite the multiple. 🖥️

Global ad spend at $1T+ in 2025, and they’re projecting another 5%+ increase again this year. When the budget line gets that big, 2 things happen fast. Consolidation accelerates, and entry prices move.

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Macro: Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET), Industrial Production (9:15 AM ET). 📊

Pre-Market Earnings: $HUYA, $LGVN, $KOPN, $ABEO, $GIS, $TME, $STIM. ☀️

After-Market Earnings: $SINT, $DOCU, $OKLO, $PRSO, $GLTO, $IPM, $DRMA, $CLPT, +4 more. 🌙

P.S. You can listen to all of these earnings calls on Stocktwits.

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📺 One month later, White House and Democrats no closer to ending the DHS shutdown

👀 CEOs of top airlines demand Congress restore funding to Homeland Security and pay airport workers

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