The Trend Is The Bulls’ Friend

Stocks' latest breakout, Michael Burry's buying spree, and other noteworthy pops & drops.

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NEWS
The Trend Is The Bulls’ Friend

Source: Tenor.com

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 made new all-time closing highs, with Nvidia and semiconductors helping drive the latest bull run. A lack of Trump tariff comments or other surprises helped investors feel comfortable staying long into the three-day weekend. Time will tell if this weekend is restful or if the pot is stirred. 👀 

Today's issue covers the bullish trend continuing, Michael Burry’s buying spree, a brand new “Weekend Rip” episode, and other noteworthy pops and drops. 📰

Here’s the S&P 500 heatmap. 4 of 11 sectors closed green, with communication services (+0.61%) leading and healthcare (-1.09%) lagging.

Source: Finviz.com

And here are the closing prices: 

S&P 500

6,115

-0.01%

Nasdaq

20,027

+0.41%

Russell 2000

2,280

-0.10%

Dow Jones

44,546

-0.37%

STOCKS
When In Doubt, Zoom Out 🔍️ 

Bulls continue to climb the “wall of worry,” and long-term investors are rewarded for sticking with the trend despite all the reasons to sell. Sometimes simplicity pays, so let’s view how some market participants attempt to keep it simple.

Below is a chart of Nasdaq 100 futures showing prices continually staying above their primary trendline and long-term (200-day) moving average. Whether using higher highs and higher lows, trendlines, moving averages, momentum indicators, or some other trend-following method, the path of least resistance remains higher. 📈 

Source: TradingView

Looking ahead, one catalyst that could propel or derail stocks’ recent move is the U.S. Dollar Index. There’s been a negative correlation with stocks, as investors “rushed for safety” via the U.S. Dollar and treasuries during periods of uncertainty.

However, the Dollar's breakdown from its recent range could suggest some of that fear is leaving the market, and investors are taking a more aggressive approach toward risk assets like stocks, crypto, etc. The chart below shows prices retesting their former highs, and how prices react here will tell investors a lot about what’s next. 🕵️ 

Source: TradingView

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