S&P 500 Closes Low As War Threats Bellow

Senate tax bill cuts Solar stocks to pieces, JetBlue’s terrible outlook pulled airlines out of the sky, and what to expect from the FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

Presented by StartEngine

CLOSING BELL
S&P 500 Below 6k As War Threats Bellow

Well, one week later, and we closed back below 6k again, didn’t we?

The market fell Tuesday as Trump left the G7 early to deal with situation room talks to address the ongoing hostilities between Iran and Israel. The president, eager to uphold an alliance but keep the U.S. out of another war, personally threatened Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and demanded immedieate surrender, while Iran clapped back, and said they were preparing U.S. targets if the incoming naval strike group, or any other American attack for that matter directly hits Iran.

Outside of war, Census Bureau data showed retail sales fell nearly twice as much as expected in May, as tariff-weary consumers pulled in their purse strings.  👀

Today's issue covers solar stocks hit hard by Senate tax bill cuts solar stocks to pieces, JetBlue’s terrible outlook pulled airlines out of the sky, and what to expect from the FOMC meeting Wednesday. 📰

With the final numbers for indexes and the ETFs that track them, 1 of 11 sectors closed green, with energy $XLE ( ▲ 0.93% ) leading and discretionary $XLY ( ▼ 1.72% ) lagging.

S&P 500 $SPY ( ▼ 0.86% ) 5,982

Nasdaq 100 $QQQ ( ▼ 0.98% ) 21,719

Russell 2000 $IWM ( ▼ 1.05% ) 2,101

Dow Jones $DIA ( ▼ 0.74% ) 42,215

STOCKS
Solar Stocks Hit Hard By Senate Tax Bill Cut ☀️ 

Solar stocks tumbled after the Senate proposed ending wind and solar tax credits by 2028, triggering sharp declines in Enphase Energy, SolarEdge, and Sunrun. $RUN ( ▼ 40.04% ) was the worst hit, followed by $ENPH ( ▼ 23.97% ) $NOVA ( ▲ 7.94% ) and $FSLR ( ▼ 17.89% ).

Despite aggressive lobbying, the most recent editions of the tax bill currently finding its way through the Senate see solar credits expiring after 2028.

The American Clean Power Association said the bill “would increase household electricity bills and threaten hundreds of thousands of jobs across the country.”

Stocktwits users were bullish despite TAN, a solar industry tracker, falling 9% on Tuesday.

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COMPANY NEWS
JetBlue’s Outlook Pulled Airlines Out Of The Sky 🛬 

JetBlue warned that breaking even in 2025 is unlikely. The firm cited weak travel demand and announced cost-cutting measures, including grounding some Airbus jets and reducing off-peak flights.

Chief Joanna Feraghty told staff the airline is trying to make cuts wherever it can, a year after a failed attempt to acquire Spirit Airlines. CNBC reported the staff note, sending $JBLU ( ▼ 7.88% ) falling.

“We’re hopeful demand and bookings will rebound, but even a recovery won’t fully offset the ground we’ve lost this year and our path back to profitability will take longer than we’d hoped. That means we’re still relying on borrowed cash to keep the airline running,” Geraghty said.

One small note pulled down the rest of the airline industry stocks as well.

$UAL ( ▼ 6.18% ) and $DAL ( ▼ 4.33% ) extended declines, already on sell-off watch following a major Air India crash and flight closures during the Iran Air war campaign.

Stocktwits users are bearish on $JBLU ( ▼ 7.88% ) today.

EXPECT DEATH AND INTEREST RATES
FOMC Meeting And Economic Projection on the Way 🫥 

Fed officials remain undecided on rate cuts, with the culmination of June's day meeting and rate decision due Wednesday at 2 pm.

Despite constant healing from the Trump administration, the FOMC has held firm with its ‘let’s wait and see’ point of view on rates, about six months after the last time the committee cut rates in December.

The FOMC will display its famous dot plot projection, where members predict inflation and interest rates will end up in the coming year. Back in September ‘24, the plot showed up to four cuts this year, but the most recent graph in March predicted two cuts this year. The plot is a big dartboard that FOMC members throw their predictions onto and the financial media world tries to make sense of, as I wrote in a May edition of the Daily Rip.

September’s Dot Plot (left) and March Dot Plot, Fed Reserve

In September, they saw rates near 3% by Christmas ‘25, but in March, they huddled closer to the 4% line, with two 25 basis point cuts.

Chair Jerome Powell has made it clear he wants to wait and see if tariffs bring on inflation or a slowdown, before checking if underlying inflation is moving, and only then deciding on a cut. 🔪 

Most Fed speakers on the committee have agreed with Powell, though Fed Governor Waller from New York has said he supports a ‘look through’ technique for gauging inflation… It’s just that he does not expect to be able to look through before September.

In a May speech at the Bank of Korea conference, Waller said he could see a ‘good news’ cut later this year if tariff price changes were temporary.

The decision tomorrow comes during a politically loud time for monetary policy. Powell’s term as FOMC governor is up next year, and rumors floated for a replacement, along the lines of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, which emerged about a week ago. Bessent has become the executor of Trump’s tariff policy and could play a similar role as head of the monetary policy committee.

The futures markets tracked by CME show less than a 1% chance the Fed will cut tomorrow, but Stocktwits users are slightly more optimistic. 😎 

Stocktwits users are not optimistic that the Fed will cut tomorrow.

POPS & DROPS
Top Stocktwits News Stories 🗞️ 

Eli Lilly agreed to acquire Verve Therapeutics for up to $1.3 billion, expanding its gene-editing pipeline with therapies targeting cholesterol regulation. Verve climbed 81%. Read more

Waymo expanded its robotaxi services into more areas of the San Francisco Bay, Los Angeles, and Silicon Valley, increasing coverage for autonomous ride-hailing. Read more

Exxon and Chevron stocks rose over 2% as oil prices climbed more than 3% amid escalating Israel-Iran tensions, with Brent crude nearing $75 per barrel. Read more

Air India's Boeing 787 fleet passed regulatory safety inspections, with India's DGCA finding no major concerns despite the recent Ahmedabad crash. Read more

Walmart is integrating Vizio TVs into its retail strategy, enabling viewers to purchase products directly through their screens as part of its $2.3 billion acquisition. Read more

Goldman Sachs upgraded XPeng to "Buy" with a $24 price target and raised Nio to "Neutral," citing improved cost structures and new product strategies. Read more

Elon Musk's xAI is seeking $4.3 billion in equity funding as it burns through cash, adding to its ongoing $5 billion debt raise. Read more

Chase’s Sapphire Reserve credit card saw a fee jump 45% to $795, with JPMorgan Chase adding perks like a $500 hotel credit, a $300 dining credit, and free Apple TV+ and Apple Music subscriptions. Read more

FDA launched a priority review voucher program to cut drug application review times from 10-12 months to as little as 1-2 months, using a team-based "tumor board-style" approach. Read more

JPMorgan partnered with Chainlink and Ondo Finance to complete the first atomic cross-chain Delivery-versus-Payment (DvP) settlement, demonstrating a new approach to tokenized asset transactions. Read more

Don’t miss a story! Follow @StocktwitsNews for a live feed in real time. ✍️ 

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WHAT’S ON DECK
Tomorrow’s Top Things 📋

Economic data: Building Permits (May), Continuing + Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM), Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 AM), Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) (11:30 AM), FOMC Statement + Fed Interest Rate Decision (2:00 PM), FOMC Press Conference (2:30 PM). 📊

Pre-Market Earnings: Aurora Cannabis ($ACB), LiveOne ($LVO). 🛏️

P.S. You can listen to all of these earnings calls and more straight from the Stocktwits app or website. You’ll find them on the calendar page and individual symbol pages once they’re set to begin! We’ll see you there. 👍

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